Network-based modelling of COVID-19 spread for accurate forecasting and exit strategy evaluation

Paul de Wit - TU Delft signaled

We use the Network Inference-based Prediction Algorithm (NIPA) for accurate forecasting of the spread of COVID-19 in the Netherlands and for evaluation of the effectiveness of different exit strategies.

The NIPA algorithm is superior to purely statistical, machine-learning, geographical or mathematical methodologies, which we showed by analysing and forecasting the spread of COVID-19 in Hubei (China) and The Netherlands.